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If In Doubt, Blame the Aliens!

A new scientific analysis of UFO sightings, alleged alien abductions, animal mutilations and crop circles

In industry, production problems cost money. Inferior product is a waste of production time and raw materials. Hence industry has developed a number of tools to aid rapid troubleshooting and improve data analysis. In this book I shall be using such techniques for the first time to investigate the unexplained phenomena of UFO sightings, alleged alien abductions, animal mutilations and crop circle formation.

Essentially the overall characteristics of the phenomena will be determined using appropriate statistical techniques and then an established problem-solving technique will be used to ascertain the most likely explanations for each effect. This is a radically different approach to the case-by-case methodology traditionally used in studies of these phenomena.


What are the best explanations that we obtain when we apply techniques used to analyse the Apollo XIII problems to unexplained phenomena?


What is the probability that aliens really are to blame?

 

Availability

Where you can buy If In Doubt, Blame The Aliens!

Paperback - iUniverse 

Available

E-book - iUniverse

Available - soon to be discontinued

  • ISBN: 9780595720323

  • Published: 2001

  • List Price: $6.00

  • Buy at iUniverse.com - Author preferred

E-book - iUniverse

No longer available

  • ISBN: 9780595720330

E-book - Kindle

Coming soon

  • ISBN: TBD

  • Published: TBD

  • List Price: TBD

  • Format: mobi (Kindle)

E-book - Smashwords

Coming soon

  • ISBN: TBD

  • Published: TBD

  • List Price: TBD

  • Formats: epub, mobi (Kindle), Online Reader

 
Pile Of Books

Reviews

What They’re Saying

 

A fascinating approach & new way of evaluating UFO phenomena

This is a very interesting and refreshingly new approach to the UFO problem. The analysis is presented in a logical, and easy to understand manner. It also flows incredibly well. I certainly found it to be most thought provoking read. This has to be one of the most original UFO books I have read for some time. Really makes you think. Go for it - make up your own mind. Five Stars from me.

Kevin Smith

Amazon.co.uk

5 August 2001


...absolutely amazing.

...something that the UFO buffs have wanted for years. 

James Whale

TalkSPORT Radio

18 April 2001

 …it reads well

…is a very welcome diversion from your everyday UFO book.

…presents his data in easy-to-understand terms.

…refreshing and encouraging.

…recommend that you add Les Howarth’s book to your library at the earliest opportunity. 

Nick Redfern

UFO Magazine

May 2001


Howarth must be applauded for a new and original approach.

An interesting approach... 

Hilary Evans

Fortean Times

August 2001

  • Clear strong voice

  • Ideas are well developed

  • Interesting characters/subject

  • Logical, sequential order

  • Good beginning/held interest consistently

  • Accepted for Writer's Showcase.


This is very interesting. There are many facts that I’ve not heard before and I imagine anyone who’s interested in this type of thing will find it enlightening and thought provoking. The writing style is good and flows well and the whole thing appears to be well researched.

K.C. Rine

Independent Review for iUniverse.com

2001


I must commend you on the quality of your book.

Bill Bradley

1400KITZ Radio (Seattle)

24 October 2001

This is a very interesting and refreshingly new approach to the UFO problem. The analysis is presented in a logical, and easy to understand manner. It also flows incredibly well. I certainly found it to be most thought provoking read. This has to be one of the most original UFO books I have read for some time. Really makes you think. Go for it - make up your own mind. Five Stars from me.

Author Howarth, who was trained as a chemist, uses Kepner-Tregoe Problem Analysis to try to solve the UFO problem. His statistical analysis is quite intriguing. He even dares to tackle UFO-associated issues like crop circles and animal mutilation. I don’t agree with his contention that the signal will emerge from the noise in this kind of analysis of UFO data, but you’ll be surprised with his findings. I was. Unlike any UFO book you are likely to read, if reading is what you do in a book so chock full of tables.

Patrick Huyghe

The Anomalist

2001

Dr. Les G. Howarth is a chemist who has worked extensively to test the suitability of different substances for a particular purpose or the compatibility of different substances with other substances. These tests he (like all other chemists) have often had to perform hundreds, perhaps thousands of times to study, for example, how different degrees of heat affect different substances. To make their job easier, chemists often use different statistical methods to help the chemist by showing direction what is worth testing and what is not.

In 1997, Americans Charles H. Kepner and Benjamin B. Tregoe at Princeton developed a new statistical method based on questions of how a particular phenomenon generally behaves by asking simple questions and writing the answers in tabular form.

Howarth, who has never been in contact with UFOs before, has now invented the use of this new Kepner-Tregoe method to analyze UFO observations and to investigate the result of this method. Howarth acquired the literature in the field, and began to review UFO observations using the Kepner-Tregoe method.

Howarth tested different theories of what causes UFO observations [and] puts [these] in order of probability, In addition, Howarth notes that many eyewitnesses have often spotted the same object, or the observation factor is often "reliable" observers such as soldiers or police.

Howarth now tests [abduction, animal mutilations and crop circles] using the Kepner-Tregoe method and obtains the result that ... fraud is [the best] general explanation for crop circles...

After passing the above subtests, Howarth now combines all the parts into one large test, but omits the grain patterns from this test because fraud was the most likely explanation for them. The result of this joint large Kepner-Tregoe analysis shows that now the most likely order of explanation for the UFO sightings is as follows...:

Based on various statistical calculations, Howarth believes that there is up to a ..% probability that UFOs are from space.

Finally, Howarth performs a Kepner-Tregoe analysis to find out what the alien’s goal might be...

Björn Borg

UFU Finland

13 December 2003