If In Doubt, Blame the Aliens!
A new scientific analysis of UFO sightings, alleged alien abductions, animal mutilations and crop circles
In industry, production problems cost money. Inferior product is a waste of production time and raw materials. Hence industry has developed a number of tools to aid rapid troubleshooting and improve data analysis. In this book I shall be using such techniques for the first time to investigate the unexplained phenomena of UFO sightings, alleged alien abductions, animal mutilations and crop circle formation.
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Essentially the overall characteristics of the phenomena will be determined using appropriate statistical techniques and then an established problem-solving technique will be used to ascertain the most likely explanations for each effect. This is a radically different approach to the case-by-case methodology traditionally used in studies of these phenomena.
What are the best explanations that we obtain when we apply techniques used to analyse the Apollo XIII problems to unexplained phenomena?
What is the probability that aliens really are to blame?
Availability
Where you can buy If In Doubt, Blame The Aliens!
Paperback - iUniverse
Available
ISBN: 9780595156931
Published: 2001
List Price: $15.95
Buy at iUniverse.com - Author preferred
Buy at Amazon.co.uk
Buy at Amazon.com
Buy at BarnesAndNoble.com
E-book - iUniverse
Available - soon to be discontinued
ISBN: 9780595720323
Published: 2001
List Price: $6.00
Buy at iUniverse.com - Author preferred
E-book - iUniverse
No longer available
ISBN: 9780595720330
E-book - Kindle
Coming soon
ISBN: TBD
Published: TBD
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Format: mobi (Kindle)
E-book - Smashwords
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ISBN: TBD
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Formats: epub, mobi (Kindle), Online Reader
Reviews
What They’re Saying
A fascinating approach & new way of evaluating UFO phenomena
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This is a very interesting and refreshingly new approach to the UFO problem. The analysis is presented in a logical, and easy to understand manner. It also flows incredibly well. I certainly found it to be most thought provoking read. This has to be one of the most original UFO books I have read for some time. Really makes you think. Go for it - make up your own mind. Five Stars from me.
...absolutely amazing.
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...something that the UFO buffs have wanted for years.
James Whale
TalkSPORT Radio
18 April 2001
…it reads well
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…is a very welcome diversion from your everyday UFO book.
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…presents his data in easy-to-understand terms.
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…refreshing and encouraging.
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…recommend that you add Les Howarth’s book to your library at the earliest opportunity.
Nick Redfern
UFO Magazine
May 2001
Howarth must be applauded for a new and original approach.
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An interesting approach...
Hilary Evans
Fortean Times
August 2001
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Clear strong voice
Ideas are well developed
Interesting characters/subject
Logical, sequential order
Good beginning/held interest consistently
Accepted for Writer's Showcase.
This is very interesting. There are many facts that I’ve not heard before and I imagine anyone who’s interested in this type of thing will find it enlightening and thought provoking. The writing style is good and flows well and the whole thing appears to be well researched.
I must commend you on the quality of your book.
Bill Bradley
1400KITZ Radio (Seattle)
24 October 2001
This is a very interesting and refreshingly new approach to the UFO problem. The analysis is presented in a logical, and easy to understand manner. It also flows incredibly well. I certainly found it to be most thought provoking read. This has to be one of the most original UFO books I have read for some time. Really makes you think. Go for it - make up your own mind. Five Stars from me.
Author Howarth, who was trained as a chemist, uses Kepner-Tregoe Problem Analysis to try to solve the UFO problem. His statistical analysis is quite intriguing. He even dares to tackle UFO-associated issues like crop circles and animal mutilation. I don’t agree with his contention that the signal will emerge from the noise in this kind of analysis of UFO data, but you’ll be surprised with his findings. I was. Unlike any UFO book you are likely to read, if reading is what you do in a book so chock full of tables.
Dr. Les G. Howarth is a chemist who has worked extensively to test the suitability of different substances for a particular purpose or the compatibility of different substances with other substances. These tests he (like all other chemists) have often had to perform hundreds, perhaps thousands of times to study, for example, how different degrees of heat affect different substances. To make their job easier, chemists often use different statistical methods to help the chemist by showing direction what is worth testing and what is not.
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In 1997, Americans Charles H. Kepner and Benjamin B. Tregoe at Princeton developed a new statistical method based on questions of how a particular phenomenon generally behaves by asking simple questions and writing the answers in tabular form.
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Howarth, who has never been in contact with UFOs before, has now invented the use of this new Kepner-Tregoe method to analyze UFO observations and to investigate the result of this method. Howarth acquired the literature in the field, and began to review UFO observations using the Kepner-Tregoe method.
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Howarth tested different theories of what causes UFO observations [and] puts [these] in order of probability, In addition, Howarth notes that many eyewitnesses have often spotted the same object, or the observation factor is often "reliable" observers such as soldiers or police.
Howarth now tests [abduction, animal mutilations and crop circles] using the Kepner-Tregoe method and obtains the result that ... fraud is [the best] general explanation for crop circles...
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After passing the above subtests, Howarth now combines all the parts into one large test, but omits the grain patterns from this test because fraud was the most likely explanation for them. The result of this joint large Kepner-Tregoe analysis shows that now the most likely order of explanation for the UFO sightings is as follows...:
Based on various statistical calculations, Howarth believes that there is up to a ..% probability that UFOs are from space.
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Finally, Howarth performs a Kepner-Tregoe analysis to find out what the alien’s goal might be...